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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 6, 2019 15:06:53 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 6, 2019 15:14:02 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 6, 2019 15:24:09 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 6, 2019 15:33:08 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 6, 2019 15:36:13 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 6, 2019 21:12:59 GMT -6
Frisco HS #11 is projected to open in 2021, and HS #12 is projected to open in 2022. HS #11 will relieve Liberty and Independence on the far east side. I project that Custer will be the boundary line, meaning this school will only serve McKinney residents inside FISD. There would be around 1628 students in that zone in 2021, leaving 1715 in the Liberty zone, and 1293 in the Independence zone. That would give HS #9 an opening enrollment of 814 9-10th graders, good for a UIL number of 1083 for the 2022 alignment. Liberty would have 1914 students in 2021 and IHS would have 1908. In 2022, HS #12 would actually have 1249, LHS would have 1867 and IHS would have 1812 . By 2028, HS #9 would have around 1994 students, Liberty would have 1521, and IHS would have around 2943. Centennial will need relief around 2022, so they could slide a neighborhood over to Liberty to balance things out. HS #12 will likely be built on the northwest corner of the district, in a move that will rezone Heritage, Memorial, Lone Star, Wakeland, and Reedy. It's possible they could build on the land at the corner of Main and Coit, which could still relieve everyone immediately, while also helping Independence down the road. Wakeland is projected to fall down to 1358 students in 2028. I expect it to relieve Reedy and Lone Star, but it won't be able to help both immediately due to still having lots of kids in its zone. Zoning for HS #12 will be much more difficult that HS #11, as it is expected to be the last HS added for quite some time, and potentially ever (despite having land for #13). So they want to make sure they can relieve schools for 2022, and to make it last for a while. files.pasademographics.com:800/Reports/2018/Demographic%20Update%20-%20Frisco%20-%20Sep%202018.pdf |
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Post by bluefrontwhiteback on Aug 9, 2019 8:17:52 GMT -6
Here is an update video
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Post by mattsteppdctf on Aug 9, 2019 9:00:59 GMT -6
Class 4A will always be an outlier in any metric...fewest schools and the largest enrollment ratio disparity (aside from 6A which is inflated by 5 schools)....I'd actually be ok with 4A as a whole dropping to say 24 total districts in football...I think you can still pull off 32 in other sports but in football drop it to 24 districts....I might play around with a mock-up after snapshot day
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 9, 2019 16:39:52 GMT -6
Wichita Falls ISD will not have its bond package ready for November, so it is shooting for the May election cycle. They have until February to make the May date official. They said the biggest decision will be deciding between 1 mega HS or 2 balanced HS. One board member wants the district to consider a 3rd option: a 6A HS and a 4A HS because “two equal schools doesn’t work well in Wichita Falls.” My take: if you go 6A, go BIG. Use that size to your advantage. If you have 2 balanced 5A schools, take steps that ensure the rivalry is fierce, but friendly. If Denison and Sherman can do it despite having two different ISDs, WFISD can do it for its 2 HS. www.timesrecordnews.com/story/news/local/2019/08/08/school-district-bond-unlikely-ready-fall-election/1958579001/ |
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 17, 2019 14:57:32 GMT -6
Class 4A will always be an outlier in any metric...fewest schools and the largest enrollment ratio disparity (aside from 6A which is inflated by 5 schools)....I'd actually be ok with 4A as a whole dropping to say 24 total districts in football...I think you can still pull off 32 in other sports but in football drop it to 24 districts....I might play around with a mock-up after snapshot day 12 districts per division is possible, but UIL would have to go old school and make teams travel. This is a map I threw together real quick using the current D1 schools. drive.google.com/open?id=1jtScK7yAMaI1xS1sy9M8LKhs-I6HeRN9&usp=sharing |
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Post by acatfan on Aug 18, 2019 23:42:11 GMT -6
Highly unlikely. They tend to over estimate. The real numbers for 2018-2019 according to TEA were 1951, a decrease. By 2022, the bottom of 6A should be close to 2300, judging by the increase of 40-50 per realignment in the last two. |
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 20, 2019 16:12:23 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Aug 20, 2019 16:18:10 GMT -6
Highly unlikely. They tend to over estimate. The real numbers for 2018-2019 according to TEA were 1951, a decrease. By 2022, the bottom of 6A should be close to 2300, judging by the increase of 40-50 per realignment in the last two. I never looked at my spreadsheet that night I posted. Angleton's UIL number would be 1995 because you have to count every high schooler in the district, but that still isn't anywhere close. The 8th grade class was smaller than the 10th and 11th grades, so I agree Angleton will be staying 5A. |
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Post by rtxc1 on Sept 13, 2019 15:46:54 GMT -6
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Post by rtxc1 on Sept 15, 2019 9:52:21 GMT -6
Prosper Rock Hill will open with 9-12. They let seniors decide which school they want to attend, with a deadline to choose by 9/6/19. Should have "accurate" enrollment figures for 2020 soon. www.prosper-isd.net/Page/21854 |
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