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Post by gpjohn on Jul 28, 2011 8:07:05 GMT -6
Gulf is pretty warm, but as fast as this storm is moving I doubt it will develop much. We can sure use the rain! I am confused on this one. I saw it is moving at 9mph and is 750 miles SE of CC. How in the hell can it make landfall by tomorrow evening at that speed??? I'm guessing they are expecting it to pick up speed. From NWS, 0700 CDT Current Conditions: Location...24.0N 89.8W, about 545 mi ESE of Corpus Christi Texas; about 495 mi ESE of Brownsville Texas Maximum sustained winds...40 mph Present movement...WNW or 300 degrees at 10 mph; Minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass Discussion and 48-hour outlook ------------------------------ On this track, the center of Don should move through the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today and approach the Texas coast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph...65 km/h...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours. Don is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center. Port Condition X-Ray has been ordered by COTPs in Corpus Christi and Houston Galveston. GICA will participate in CG prep call and USACE Restoration calls today and report results.
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Post by C5_96 on Jul 28, 2011 8:58:10 GMT -6
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Post by gpwf on Jul 28, 2011 9:00:03 GMT -6
It's on track to hit Gregory-Portland Texas USA
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Post by Deleted on Jul 28, 2011 9:05:35 GMT -6
It's on track to hit Gregory-Portland Texas USA You all have the deer blind tied down? ?
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Post by Deleted on Jul 28, 2011 9:06:36 GMT -6
This isn't going too be much. If you are looking for a drought buster, this isn't it.
It's going to be all hat and no cattle. Sort of like the LSU football team.
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Post by gpwf on Jul 28, 2011 9:16:11 GMT -6
It's on track to hit Gregory-Portland Texas USA You all have the deer blind tied down? ? We no longer call that a deer blind...it's now referred to "Scouting Suite". Please adhere to the name change.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 28, 2011 9:21:36 GMT -6
You all have the deer blind tied down? ? We no longer call that a deer blind...it's now referred to "Scouting Suite". Please adhere to the name change. I guess a little bit of Westlake is rubbing off on you all? ? I fully expect to see a parking lot full of BMW's, Mercedes, Infinitis and Lexus next time I go to GP for an event. Maybe you all will open a Starbucks at the stadium too!
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Post by gpjohn on Jul 28, 2011 9:27:56 GMT -6
This isn't going too be much. If you are looking for a drought buster, this isn't it. It's going to be all hat and no cattle. Sort of like the LSU football team. I know you are trolling, but here are some facts for you: Last year LSU was 11-2 Last year the whorns were 5-7 Who is all hat now?
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Post by C5_96 on Jul 28, 2011 9:28:34 GMT -6
We no longer call that a deer blind...it's now referred to "Scouting Suite". Please adhere to the name change. I guess a little bit of Westlake is rubbing off on you all? ? I fully expect to see a parking lot full of BMW's, Mercedes, Infinitis and Lexus next time I go to GP for an event. Maybe you all will open a Starbucks at the stadium too! Man, I don't know what I'd do without a latte at the game.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 28, 2011 9:30:39 GMT -6
This isn't going too be much. If you are looking for a drought buster, this isn't it. It's going to be all hat and no cattle. Sort of like the LSU football team. I know you are trolling, but here are some facts for you: Last year LSU was 11-2 Last year the whorns were 5-7 Who is all hat now? Last year was last year. BTW, when does LSU's appointment with NCAA compliance come due? Being that everyone else in the SEC is in trouble except Vandy.
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Post by Clemensbuff on Jul 28, 2011 10:47:38 GMT -6
From NWS, 0700 CDT Current Conditions: Location...24.0N 89.8W, about 545 mi ESE of Corpus Christi Texas; about 495 mi ESE of Brownsville Texas Maximum sustained winds...40 mph Present movement...WNW or 300 degrees at 10 mph; Minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass Discussion and 48-hour outlook ------------------------------ On this track, the center of Don should move through the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today and approach the Texas coast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph...65 km/h...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours. Don is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center. Port Condition X-Ray has been ordered by COTPs in Corpus Christi and Houston Galveston. GICA will participate in CG prep call and USACE Restoration calls today and report results. OK, but how in the hell do you get landfall tomorrow evening with it 545 miles off shore moving at 10mph. SC math taught me that is about 54 hours away putting it Saturday afternoon! WTF, do meteorologist not take any 'simple math' courses in college?
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Post by gpjohn on Jul 28, 2011 12:35:16 GMT -6
From NWS, 0700 CDT Current Conditions: Location...24.0N 89.8W, about 545 mi ESE of Corpus Christi Texas; about 495 mi ESE of Brownsville Texas Maximum sustained winds...40 mph Present movement...WNW or 300 degrees at 10 mph; Minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass Discussion and 48-hour outlook ------------------------------ On this track, the center of Don should move through the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today and approach the Texas coast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph...65 km/h...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours. Don is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center. Port Condition X-Ray has been ordered by COTPs in Corpus Christi and Houston Galveston. GICA will participate in CG prep call and USACE Restoration calls today and report results. OK, but how in the hell do you get landfall tomorrow evening with it 545 miles off shore moving at 10mph. SC math taught me that is about 54 hours away putting it Saturday afternoon! WTF, do meteorologist not take any 'simple math' courses in college? I guess they figure it will pick up speed. As much as calallen sucks, its bound to affect the storm
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Post by DD Booger on Jul 28, 2011 14:45:59 GMT -6
From NWS, 0700 CDT Current Conditions: Location...24.0N 89.8W, about 545 mi ESE of Corpus Christi Texas; about 495 mi ESE of Brownsville Texas Maximum sustained winds...40 mph Present movement...WNW or 300 degrees at 10 mph; Minimum central pressure...1000 mb...29.53 inches Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to west of San Luis Pass Discussion and 48-hour outlook ------------------------------ On this track, the center of Don should move through the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today and approach the Texas coast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph...65 km/h...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours. Don is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center. Port Condition X-Ray has been ordered by COTPs in Corpus Christi and Houston Galveston. GICA will participate in CG prep call and USACE Restoration calls today and report results. OK, but how in the hell do you get landfall tomorrow evening with it 545 miles off shore moving at 10mph. SC math taught me that is about 54 hours away putting it Saturday afternoon! WTF, do meteorologist not take any 'simple math' courses in college? Probably measuring from the center, not the bands.
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Post by gpjohn on Jul 28, 2011 14:47:55 GMT -6
as of 1500 7/28/11
Current Conditions: 24.6N 90.W, about 475 mi ESE of Corpus Christi Texas, about 430 mi E of Brownsville Texas Maximum sustained winds...45 mph Present movement...NW or 305 degrees at 15 mph Minimum central pressure...1005 mb...29.68 inches Summary of watches and warnings in effect... • Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Texas coast from Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass • Tropical storm watch is in effect for Texas coast south of Port Mansfield to the mouth of the Rio Grande
Outlook: Morning forecast had the storm tracking a more northerly line but the afternoon track has been changed to a more southerly line. Originally had landfall between Port Aransas and Rock Port but now forecasted between Baffin Bay and Port O’Connor due to the southerly movement. • Only a 10% chance that the winds will strengthen to CAT 1 • Expected winds along and NE of center 55 – 60mph by landfall with possibility of gusts of 75mph. These are expected to extend 30 nautical miles from center. Lesser winds to extend 75 nautical miles from center along track to the NE. • Offshore seas expected at 10 – 15’. • Near shore seas expected at 8 – 12’. • Increased winds expected along the mid-Texas Coast by sunset Friday. • Rainfall expected along track to the NE 3 – 5” Friday through Saturday with less than 1” SW of track. • Localized flooding may occur but only expecting a surge of 1 – 3’ with a low tide at 2100 Friday night. May have flooding mid-coast; barrier islands.
Navigation / Ops Impacts and Issues:
USCG Sector Corpus Christi will evaluate raising Corpus Christi Port Condition to Yankee which will limit the I/B vessels and acceptance of submissions for remaining in port. A conference call may be initiated for around 1800 with the stakeholders. AToN reports ready to respond.
USCG COTP Houston Galveston has lowered Houston Galveston Port Condition to Normal. Offshore interests may resume normal operations with due regard for prevailing local conditions.
USACE reports its survey contractor has been put on notice BUT NOT standby at this time for survey. USACE feels it has plenty of assets along the coast to respond as needed both for brown water and deep draft. The survey plan has been completed and believe that all can respond in a timely manner.
NOAA, reports it Navigation Response Team is located in Panama City and can mobilize if needed.
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Post by johnnyduval on Jul 28, 2011 15:08:16 GMT -6
Looks like it's gonna be a hurricane and it's gonna hit just south of Corpus Friday night around midnight. Bring on the rain!
It's moving at 15 mph...428 miles to CC.
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