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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2019 12:57:48 GMT -6
I'd think Braswell and Reedy both win next week. You? LD just gave Braswell all they wanted and Denison took Lovejoy to OT. I think that game is up in the air and that Reedy will beat Princeton. I’d lean towards Braswell for one reason: Denison has trouble in the clutch. Playoffs start early for Denison.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2019 19:43:30 GMT -6
Not going to update after this next week because it will be the official bracket. Thanks for playing along.
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Post by leopard4life on Nov 2, 2019 21:52:22 GMT -6
Denison’s playoff hopes are in their own hands. Seating in 7-5A D2 is still all over the place. I'd think Braswell and Reedy both win next week. You? I think Denison vs Braswell will be a great matchup. Both teams run a hurry-up so the winner will probably be the team that makes the fewest mistakes, especially turnovers. Princeton has an outside chance, but Reedy will be focused. In all honesty, I'd prefer Denison to make the playoffs because I like their fan base and traditions. I got tired of the Reedy hype and the icing on the cake would be them missing the playoffs. However, I wouldn't bet on any of the main 3 games in 7-5A DII (Lovejoy @ Frisco, Braswell @ Denison, or Reedy @ Princeton).
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2019 22:05:36 GMT -6
Looks like FW Waytt and Burleson both snuck in to the 4th spots tonight.
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Post by rtxc1 on Nov 8, 2019 22:26:24 GMT -6
Looks like FW Waytt and Burleson both snuck in to the 4th spots tonight. How do you figure Burleson made it? Did Everman not beat them? They should both be 4-4, with Cleburne at 3-5.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2019 22:28:57 GMT -6
Looks like FW Waytt and Burleson both snuck in to the 4th spots tonight. How do you figure Burleson made it? Did Everman not beat them? They should both be 4-4, with Cleburne at 3-5. On the Aledo radio broadcast they said as long as Burleson wins by 18. I guess our district doesnt have a points cap. Idk.
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Post by rtxc1 on Nov 8, 2019 22:35:52 GMT -6
How do you figure Burleson made it? Did Everman not beat them? They should both be 4-4, with Cleburne at 3-5. On the Aledo radio broadcast they said as long as Burleson wins by 18. I guess our district doesnt have a points cap. Idk. Your district doesn't do head-to-head when two teams are tied?
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2019 22:38:59 GMT -6
On the Aledo radio broadcast they said as long as Burleson wins by 18. I guess our district doesnt have a points cap. Idk. Your district doesn't do head-to-head when two teams are tied? I would think so but they seemed really confident when they said that. They mentioned Burleson advancing multiple times.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2019 6:54:29 GMT -6
On the Aledo radio broadcast they said as long as Burleson wins by 18. I guess our district doesnt have a points cap. Idk. Your district doesn't do head-to-head when two teams are tied? Matt Diggs said Everman in the 4 spot so it's probably them. Can they upset Red Oak?
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Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2019 7:40:45 GMT -6
Going to wait until the official bracket comes out to compare but here is how I did last season with the ridiculously early playoff mock. Really hope to improve on those numbers, especially the 70.3%.
64 playoff teams in 5AD2
Correct playoff seed 16 out of 64 = 25%
Correct playoff team(total) 45 out of 64 = 70.3%
Missed playoffs 19 out of 64 = 29.7%
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Post by ricosuave on Nov 9, 2019 9:58:43 GMT -6
Your district doesn't do head-to-head when two teams are tied? Matt Diggs said Everman in the 4 spot so it's probably them. Can they upset Red Oak? I think Red Oak will have enough to hold down Everman. I doubt we would've had enough to get past Red Oak either. Truth is that we had an offense that was good enough to be 8-2 but our defense was 6-4.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2019 7:19:15 GMT -6
Time to see how I did when I made my prediction from December!
Correct seed Correct team Missed
w1 El Paso Parkland / f2 El Paso Bowie r4 Ft Worth Southwest / t3 Canyon Randall w2 El Paso Andress / f1 Clint Horizon r3 Lubbock Cooper / t4 Ft Worth Wyatt w3 Wichita Falls Rider / f4 Ft Worth Eastern Hills r2 El Paso Burges / t1 El Paso Hanks w4 Northwest / f3 Abilene Wylie r1 Canutillo / t2 El Paso Austin w5 Aledo / f6 Dallas Kimball r8 Corsicana / t7 Frisco w6 South Oak Cliff / f5 Burleson r7 Lucas Lovejoy / t8 Kaufman w7 Frisco Reedy / f8 Sulphur Springs r6 Red Oak / t5 Midlothian w8 Ennis / f7 Denison r5 Burleson Centennial / t6 Dallas Seagoville w9 Marshall / f10 Rosenberg Lamar Cons. r12 Port Neches-Groves / t11 H Northside w10 Huntsville / f9 Whitehouse r11 Manvel / t12 Mt Belvieu Barbers Hill w11 Fort Bend Marshall / f12 Crosby r10 A&M Consolidated / t9 Nacogdoches w12 Nederland / f11 FB Willowridge r9 Lindale / t10 Montgomery w13 Brenham / f14 Medina Valley r16 Sharyland Pioneer / t15 San Antonio Southside w14 Kerrville Tivy / f13 Elgin r15 Port Lavaca Calhoun / t16 Mercedes w15 CC Calallen / f16 Edcouch-Elsa r14 Alamo Heights / t13 Georgetown East View w16 Mission Sharyland / f15 Floresville r13 Leander Glenn / t14 Boerne Champion
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Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2019 7:23:58 GMT -6
Going to wait until the official bracket comes out to compare but here is how I did last season with the ridiculously early playoff mock. Really hope to improve on those numbers, especially the 70.3%. 64 playoff teams in 5AD2 Correct playoff seed 16 out of 64 = 25% Correct playoff team(total) 45 out of 64 = 70.3% Missed playoffs 19 out of 64 = 29.7% My second attempt. Improved on predicting the correct playoff teams by 9% but dropped on the correct playoff seed. Overall a better year but still not at the 85% mark that the goal sits at. Correct playoff seed 15 out of 64 = 23.4% Correct playoff team(total) 51 out of 64 = 79.6% Missed playoffs 13 out of 64 = 20.3%
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Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2019 10:06:48 GMT -6
Now the fun part, playing out the bracket. There are several upsets and unlikely teams advancing. This isnt your "lets pick all the higher ranked teams" bracket. Went out on a limb enough times to almost dismiss this completely. I get it. Could be way off but time and effort did go into this. Time to let it ride. Good luck to your team unless you're playing my team!
Correct Pick / Missed Pick
Round 1
W1 Ysleta Parkland vs F2 EP Bowie R4 FW North Side vs T3 Wichita Falls W2 EP Austin vs F1 Ysleta Hanks R3 Wichita Falls Rider vs T4 FW Southwest W3 Lubbock-Cooper vs F4 FW Wyatt R2 EP Burges vs T1 Ysleta W4 Northwest vs F3 Canyon Randall R1 Canutillo vs T2 EP Andress W5 Aledo vs F6 Dallas Kimball R8 Royse City vs T7 Lovejoy W6 Red Oak vs F5 Everman R7 Denton Braswell vs T8 Corsicana W7 Frisco vs F8 Greenville R6 Dallas South Oak Cliff vs T5 Midlothian W8 Ennis vs F7 Frisco Reedy R5 Burleson Centennial vs T6 Dallas Seagoville W9 Marshall vs F10 Huntsville R12 Crosby vs T11 Fort Bend Willowridge W10 A&M Consolidated vs F9 Pine Tree R11 Fort Bend Marshall vs T12 Port Neches-Groves W11 Manvel vs F12 Nederland R10 Lamar Consolidated vs T9 Lindale W12 Barbers Hill vs F11 Houston Sterling R9 Whitehouse vs T10 Katy Paetow W13 Brenham vs F14 Medina Valley R16 Mercedes vs T15 Alice W14 Kerrville Tivy vs F13 Georgetown East View R15 Calallen vs T16 Edcouch-Elsa W15 Port Lavaca Calhoun vs F16 Sharyland R14 Boerne-Champion vs T13 Leander Glenn W16 Sharyland Pioneer vs F15 Southside R13 Pflugerville Weiss vs T14 Lockhart
Round 2
W1 Ysleta Parkland vs T3 Wichita Falls W2 EP Austin vs R3 Wichita Falls Rider W3 Lubbock-Cooper vs R2 EP Burges W4 Northwest vs T2 EP Andress W5 Aledo vs R8 Royse City W6 Red Oak vs R7 Denton Braswell W7 Frisco vs T5 Midlothian W8 Ennis vs R5 Burleson Centennial F10 Huntsville vs T11 Fort Bend Willowridge W10 A&M Consolidated vs R11 Fort Bend Marshall W11 Manvel vs R10 Lamar Consolidated W12 Barbers Hill vs T10 Katy Paetow W13 Brenham vs T15 Alice W14 Kerrville Tivy vs R15 Calallen W15 Port Lavaca Calhoun vs R14 Boerne-Champion W16 Sharyland Pioneer vs R13 Pflugerville Weiss
R3
W1 Ysleta Parkland vs R3 Wichita Falls Rider W3 Lubbock-Cooper vs W4 Northwest W5 Aledo vs R7 Denton Braswell T5 Midlothian vs R5 Burleson Centennial F10 Huntsville vs R11 Fort Bend Marshall W11 Manvel vs W12 Barbers Hill W13 Brenham vs W14 Kerrville Tivy W15 Port Lavaca Calhoun vs W16 Sharyland Pioneer
R4
R3 Wichita Falls Rider vs W3 Lubbock-Cooper W5 Aledo vs R5 Burleson Centennial R11 Fort Bend Marshall vs W12 Barbers Hill W14 Kerrville Tivy vs W15 Port Lavaca Calhoun
R5
W3 Lubbock-Cooper vs W5 Aledo W12 Barbers Hill vs W14 Kerrville Tivy
R6
W5 Aledo vs W12 Barbers Hill
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Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2019 10:10:00 GMT -6
Notable games:
R1
Royse City vs Lovejoy- I'd say LJ is the favorite and the better team but I'm picking RC in the upset. They are the home team and their defense isnt bad. They need to spy the lefty QB for LJ and I feel they will be fine. I'd think its low scoring but I'm terrible at picking scores.
Marshall vs Huntsville- I know Marshall is at home and they have recovered from an 0-3 start but I'm taking 4 seed Huntsville. This would be my game of the week in D2. Both these teams could make a decent run.
Crosby vs FB Willowridge- Crosby will host but hear me now and believe me later, Willowridge will win this game. Some Crosby fans dont have faith in their coaches and that isnt good. Willowridge is a good 3 seed.
R2
Red Oak vs Denton Braswell- Very good game between very good teams. I gave the edge to Denton Braswell because of the tough district they came from and the fact Braswell already beat Red Oak week 1 this season. Also, Braswell looks better overall in the videos I saw of both teams
A&M Consolidated vs Fort Bend Marshall- I've gone back and forth all season on this game since I realized it could happen. At the end of the day I will go with FBM and the best player in 5A. I think this will be a close game but I trust the FBM offense more than I do A&M.
Tivy vs Calallen- The slow starts from Calallen are troubling. Early in the season it is understandable but now it is what it is. Tivy is a good team that has taken care of business all season and I think these guys are going to go on a great run. Great fan bases btw.
Pioneer vs Weiss- This game is more exciting than people will give it credit for. Weiss looks the part but I think Pioneer will use #12 early and often. Could be a very fun game to attend. The close game Weiss had with Cedar Creek also helped my decision to go Pioneer.
R3
Parkland vs Rider- Really would be nice to see undefeated Parkland make it to the region finals but WF Rider is going to be a tough game for them. Earlier in the season I would have picked Parkland but I think Rider uses the experience they gained last year and pulls off the win. Rider is cool and we have a history with them but I'd like to see El Paso have a team in 4th round
Midlothian vs Burleson Centennial- Maybe my bias let these two teams advance but I really believe the style of these teams will get them past district winners. Health will play a big factor in how these teams do but I would be nervous to play these teams. District 5 should hold their own in the coming weeks.
Manvel vs Barbers Hill- After the FBM win I was ready to crown Manvel the R3 winner. Then I saw some interesting scores, Sterling and Willowridge gave Manvel much more of a game than I would have thought. Barbers Hill is just a really solid and tough team. They dont necessarily jump off the page but somehow I think this team gets the job done.
R4
WF Rider vs Lubbock Cooper- Going to be a district rematch from last season. Cooper dominated the game and unlike last year I think they finish the job this time. Cooper makes the final 4.
Fort Bend Marshall vs Barbers Hill- I am going with the massive upset. Fort Bend Marshall is explosive, they have experience in big games, they have the best player in 5A, but I think Barbers Hill is the solid scrappy team that gets it done. This is almost like last season when Huntsville was so close to beating FBM. I know I'm in the minority but thats cool.
Tivy vs Port Lavaca Calhoun- Going with another upset here. After the Calallen win in week 11 PLC should be the region favorite but I think Tivy can give PLC fits. I'm not sure how the pass defense is for PLC. The Tivy offense will need to be extremely efficient and the defense assignment sound. Having played Calallen in round 2 will help and it will give Tivy an idea what they need to improve on to beat PLC.
R5
Aledo vs Lubbock Cooper- Still not sure anyone will be able to slow down the Aledo offense. Cooper has a nice running game but they fall in the Aledo trap and dont have the experience to pull off the upset.
Tivy vs Barbers Hill- Who would have thought we would end up here? Not me. Before I started this exercise I would have guessed A&M Consolidated vs Port Lavaca Calhoun. Crazy turn of events though. By this point Barbers Hill has had the more difficult playoff path but Tivy is beat up by the ground and pound by PLC. Taking Barbers Hill to make the finals.
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